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MLB 5/24
Moderators: theone1324, Kenny981
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MLB 5/24
Arizona Diamondbacks -117 vs. San Francisco Giants
Arizona is slumping big time right now, but maybe a visit to Drew Pomeranz and the Giants will help. While Pomeranz won this same pitching matchup last weekend, it's hard to have any faith in a pitcher with a 5.66 ERA/5.77 FIP who has been injured and below replacement level since 2017. Robbie Ray still walks a lot of guys, but has terrific swing-and-miss stuff and has already surpassed last year's WAR total thanks to cutting his HR/9 in half.
San Diego Padres -116 vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Joey Lucchesi's 3.33 FIP and 68.5% strand rate suggests maybe he's been a tad unlucky to post a 4.28 ERA, and he's surrendered just three earned over his last two starts spanning 12.1 innings. Trent Thornton is right around league average which is fine for a Rule 5 pick, but the Blue Jays and their 74 wRC+ is not a great supporting cast.
New York Yankees -134 vs. Kansas City Royals
This was a pass for me when I saw it this morning at -160, but there's value here after plummeting to -134. There's no way opener Chad Green is this terrible even as volatile as relievers are, and a 4.38 HR/9 plus 35.3% HR/FB will surely come down. Bulk guy Luis Cessa has provided 22 solid innings for the Yankees this year, as his strikeout rate has climbed seven points to 27%. The bigger issue for the Royals today could be that whole run prevention thing, as Jakob Junis has gotten worse across the board from last year, resulting in a 5.04 ERA and 5.69 FIP.
Arizona is slumping big time right now, but maybe a visit to Drew Pomeranz and the Giants will help. While Pomeranz won this same pitching matchup last weekend, it's hard to have any faith in a pitcher with a 5.66 ERA/5.77 FIP who has been injured and below replacement level since 2017. Robbie Ray still walks a lot of guys, but has terrific swing-and-miss stuff and has already surpassed last year's WAR total thanks to cutting his HR/9 in half.
San Diego Padres -116 vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Joey Lucchesi's 3.33 FIP and 68.5% strand rate suggests maybe he's been a tad unlucky to post a 4.28 ERA, and he's surrendered just three earned over his last two starts spanning 12.1 innings. Trent Thornton is right around league average which is fine for a Rule 5 pick, but the Blue Jays and their 74 wRC+ is not a great supporting cast.
New York Yankees -134 vs. Kansas City Royals
This was a pass for me when I saw it this morning at -160, but there's value here after plummeting to -134. There's no way opener Chad Green is this terrible even as volatile as relievers are, and a 4.38 HR/9 plus 35.3% HR/FB will surely come down. Bulk guy Luis Cessa has provided 22 solid innings for the Yankees this year, as his strikeout rate has climbed seven points to 27%. The bigger issue for the Royals today could be that whole run prevention thing, as Jakob Junis has gotten worse across the board from last year, resulting in a 5.04 ERA and 5.69 FIP.