** NFL Trends and Index - Divisional **

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DIVISIONAL ROUND





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Long Sheet

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Divisional Round

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Trend Report
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Houston @ Baltimore
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore
Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore's last 7 games when playing at home against Houston

Green Bay @ San Francisco
Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Green Bay's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Green Bay's last 8 games
San Francisco
San Francisco is 19-4 SU in its last 23 games at home
San Francisco is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games

Tampa Bay @ Detroit
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Detroit
Detroit is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games at home

Kansas City @ Buffalo
Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
Kansas City is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Buffalo
Buffalo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Buffalo is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home


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NFL
Armadillo's Write-up

Divisional Round

Saturday’s games
Texans (11-7) @ Ravens (13-4) (-9.5)
— Houston is 8-3 in its last 11 games SU.
— Texans are 4-1 ATS as road underdogs TY.
— Last eight games, Texans are +9 in turnovers (12-3).
— Houston is 3-2 SU vs teams that made the playoffs.
— This is Texans’ first playoff spot since 2019.
— Houston is 5-6 SU all-time in playoff games, 0-4 on road.
— Texans are 2-6 when they allow 20+ points, 9-1 when they don’t.
— Texans are 7-3 TY in one-score games.
— under is 6-3 in their last nine games.
— Rookie QB Stroud is 10-6 as an NFL starter, 1-0 in playoffs.
— Rookie HC Ryans is 11-7 this year, 1-0 in playoffs.
— AFC South road underdogs are 6-7 ATS outside division.


— Baltimore won Super Bowl in 2012; since then, they’re 2-5 in playoffs.
— Ravens had last week off; QB Jackson hasn’t played since Week 17.
— Lamar Jackson is 59-22 as NFL starter, 1-3 in playoff games (13 ppg)
— Ravens won nine of their last 11 games SU.
— Baltimore is 5-3 ATS as a home favorite this year.
— Ravens are 13-1 when they score 20+ points, 0-3 if they do not.
— Baltimore is minus-6 in TO’s in its losses, +14 in wins.
— Ravens are 4-4 TY in one-score games.
— Baltimore is 6-3 SU vs teams that made the playoffs
— over is 7-4 in Baltimore’s last eleven games.
— Coach Harbaugh has a 171-108 NFL record, 11-9 in playoff games.
— AFC North home favorites are 15-6 ATS, outside the division.


— Ravens (-10) beat Houston 25-9 in this season’s opener.
— Total yardage: 268-265. Ravens led 7-6 at halftime.
— Ravens are 11-2 SU against Houston.
— Texans are 1-4 ATS in last five visits to Baltimore.
— Last four years, #1-seed in AFC is 2-2 SU/0-4 ATS in this round.
— NFL-wide, last four years, #1-seed is 5-3 SU/3-5 ATS in this round.


Packers (10-8) @ 49ers (12-5) (-9.5)
— Packers are 7-2 SU/6-3 ATS in their last nine games.
— Packers are 15-7 ATS last 22 games as a road underdog (4-3 TY).
— Green Bay outscored last eight foes 139-58 in first half.
— Last six games, Packers are +7 in turnovers (11-4)
— Packers are 6-5 TY in one-score games.
— Green Bay is 4-3 SU vs teams that made the playoffs
— Green Bay is 64 for its last 125 (51.2%) on third down.
— since 2014, Packers are 7-6 in playoffs.
— Jordan Love is 10-9 as an NFL starter, 1-0 in playoffs.
— Over is 8-2 in their last ten games.
— LaFleur is 59-30 as an NFL coach, 3-3 in playoffs.
— NFC North underdogs are 14-9-2 ATS outside the division.


— 49ers had last week off; QB Purdy hasn’t played since Week 17.
— SF is 7-2 since its bye week (5-4 ATS).
— 49ers scored 27+ points in wins, 17-17-17-19-20 in losses.
— 49ers are 3-5 ATS as a home favorite this season.
— 49ers are 1-3 TY in one-score games.
— SF is 5-3 SU vs teams that made the playoffs
— Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.
— 2nd-year QB Purdy is 19-5 as NFL starter, 2-1 in playoffs.
— Coach Shanahan is 70-54 as a head coach, 6-3 in playoffs.
— NFC West favorites are 11-9-1 ATS outside division, 6-6-1 at home.


— Teams split their last eight series games.
— 49ers upset Green Bay 13-10 in last meeting, in ’21 playoffs.
— 49ers covered four of last five visits to Lambeau.
— Last four years, NFC’s #1-seed is 3-1 SU/ATS in this round.
— NFL-wide, last four years, #1-seed is 5-3 SU/3-5 ATS in this round.


Sunday’s games
Buccaneers (10-8) @ Lions (13-5)
— Tampa Bay won/covered six of its last seven games.
— Bucs are 2-5 SU vs teams that made the playoffs
— Tampa Bay is 7-1 ATS as a road underdog this year.
— Bucs are 2-7 when they allow more than 18 points.
— Bucs are 8-1 when they allow less than 18 points.
— Bucs are 3-4 TY in one-score games.
— Tampa Bay is 2-3 SU this year in domed stadiums.
— TB is 2-5 SU vs teams that made the playoffs
— Last four years, Tampa Bay is 6-2 in playoff games.
— Bucs won Super Bowl in 2002/2020; in between, they were 0-2 in playoffs.
— Tampa Bay’s last four games stayed under the total.
— Mayfield is 42-47 as an NFL starter; 2-1 in playoffs, 10-8 with Bucs.
— Bowles is 44-59 as an NFL coach, 1-1 in playoff games.
— NFC South underdogs are 11-16 ATS outside the division.


— Lions are in playoffs for first time since 2016.
— Last week was Detroit’s first home playoff game in 30 years.
— Under Campbell, Detroit is 9-5 ATS as home favorite (5-4 TY).
— Under Campbell, Lions are 35-16-1 ATS overall.
— Goff is 69-53-1 as an NFL starter, 25-23-1 with the Lions.
— Goff is 3-3 as a playoff starter, with another win off the bench.
— Lions are 3-3 SU vs teams that made the playoffs
— Detroit is 7-3 TY in one-score games.
— Last five games, Detroit is +6 in turnovers
— Last five games, Lions held opponents to 62.5 rushing yards/game.
— Lions are 9-1 when they score 26+ points, 4-4 when they don’t.
— over is 10-5 in their last 15 games.
— NFC North favorites are 12-8-1 ATS outside the division.


— Lions (-3) won 20-6 at Tampa Bay in Week 6.
— Detroit outgained Bucs 380-251, converted 9-16 on third down.
— Teams split their last six meetings.
— Buccaneers covered four of last five visits to the Motor City.


Chiefs (12-6) @ Bills (12-6) (-2.5)
— This is Mahomes’ first true road playoff game, Chiefs’ first since 2015.
— Chiefs won four of last five games, after a 2-4 skid.
— Chiefs are 2-4 SU vs teams that made the playoffs (both wins vs Miami).
— Chiefs are 4-3 SU TY vs teams that made the playoffs
— Kansas City is 6-5 TY in one-score games.
— Chiefs haven’t had a plus turnover game since Week 6.
— In last 12 games, Chiefs are minus-11 in turnovers (7-18)
— Since 2019, Chiefs are 11-2 in playoff games, winning 2 Super Bowls.
— Under is 10-3-1 in their last 14 games.
— coach Reid is 23-16 in playoff games, 13-7 with KC.
— Mahomes is 86-25 SU as an NFL starter, 12-3 in playoffs.
— AFC West favorites are 14-15 ATS outside the division.


— Buffalo is 6-0 SU/4-2 ATS since its bye week.
— Three of those five wins was by 7 or less points.
— Buffalo is 6-1 SU vs teams that made the playoffs
— Bills are 10-0 giving up 20 or less points, 2-6 giving up more than 20.
— Last eight games, Buffalo has a +7 turnover ratio.
— Last seven games, Bills ran ball for 156.5 yards/game.
— Bills are 5-5 ATS as a home favorite this year.
— Buffalo outscored last seven foes 123-54 in first half.
— Five of their last seven games went over the total.
— Josh Allen is 68-34 as an NFL starter, 5-4 in playoff games.
— Bills are 5-3 in playoffs last three years, 5-1 at home.
— coach McDermott is 5-5 in playoff games.
— AFC East favorites are 9-12-1 ATS outside the division.


— Bills won 20-17 at Arrowhead in Week 14.
— Chiefs’ go-ahead TD at end was nullified; WR lined up offside.
— Buffalo won last three series games.
— Chiefs won last three visits to Buffalo.
— since 2016, favorites are 3-2 ATS in this round in games with #2 vs #3 seeds.
— Road team is 10-4 ATS in last 14 series games.

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